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African Futures: Key Trends to 2035

Africa is undergoing several major transitions, including demographic, economic, technological, urban and socio-political. These transitions are all connected, and together they will shape the future of the continent. Looking to the future, Africa’s…

Opportunities First: A New Lens to Shape Priorities for Action in Middle-Income Countries

This report advocates a fundamental change in approach to entrenched poverty in middle-income developing countries by emphasising the ‘O’ rather than the ‘E’ of an equal opportunity ideal. Aspirations to social mobility and justice are more effec…

Building the future Infrastructure in Nigeria until 2040

This report first compares access levels to basic physical infrastructure in Nigeria with those in relevant income peers in Africa and globally, and analyses how these are likely to evolve to 2040 along the current development trajectory (referred t…

Promoting Green Urban Industrialization in Ethiopia

African economies are looking to achieve high levels of economic growth in the next few decades, predominantly in growing urban centres. By 2035, roughly half of Africa’s population will live in its rapidly expanding cities. This transition present…

Urban Management in the 21st Century: Ten Insights from Professor Ed Glaeser

Cities play a vital role in growth and development. Leading global economist, Professor Ed Glaeser summarises the top ten insights into managing cities. Cities are powerful vehicles for prosperity because they bring people together in dense clusters…

Climate Resilience in Developing Cities: Msimbazi Basin, Dar es Salaam

In Dar es Salaam, the Msimbazi Basin is one of the fastest growing and most rapidly urbanising areas. This, coupled with insufficient service provision, high poverty levels and frequent floods, has a significant impact on the population. To address …

Ten Million and Rising: What it would Take to Address South Africa's Jobs Bloodbath

South Africa’s unemployment crisis is the consequence of decades of inadequate growth coupled with some of the effects of globalisation, technological change and bad policy choices. There are limits to the pace at which this can be rolled back, so r…

Angolan Futures 2050: Beyond Oil

Quality education and a good standard of living remain out of reach for most Angolans, despite decades of rapid economic growth. The oil price-induced economic downturn beginning in 2014 exacerbated already high levels of severe poverty, particularl…

Can Urbanization Improve Household Welfare? Evidence from Ethiopia

Despite evolving evidence that Africa is experiencing urbanization in a different way, empirical evaluations of the welfare implications of urban-development programs in Africa remain scant. We investigated the welfare implications of recent urbaniz…

Developing Rubavu District: Findings from a Multidimensional Analysis

Secondary cities matter a lot in the provision of a more balanced sustainable urban growth for Rwanda. Stimulating urbanisation through the secondary city agenda is expected to create jobs and reduce poverty. These cities have a potential to act as …

Developing Muhanga District: Findings from a Multidimensional Analysis

Secondary cities matter a lot in the provision of a more balanced sustainable urban growth for the country. Stimulating urbanisation through the secondary city agenda is expected to create jobs and reduce poverty. These cities have the potential to …

Dernier Refuge ou Presqu’île D’opportunités? Démographie et Conditions de vie à Adjahui-Coubé, un Habitat Spontané à Abidjan / Last Refuge or Island of Opportunity? Demography and Living Conditions in Adjahui-Coubé, a Spontaneous Settlement in Abidjan

This research report summarises findings from an ethnographic census, interviews and observations on an Ebrié village within the metropolis of Abidjan, which has undergone a process of rapid, unplanned and irreversible urbanisation since 2012. The s…

Shelter from the Storm: Climate-accelerated Urbanisation in South Africa

In the next 30 years, climate change will shape South Africans’ lives in numerous ways. One of the most significant effects will be seen in accelerated urbanisation, as changing weather patterns drive more and more people to towns and cities. While …

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