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Madagascar: Anatomy of a Recurrent Crisis

"This paper examines three key issues: firstly, it seeks to answer the question as to why there was an unconstitutional change of government in Madagascar. This is in view of the debate around the appropriate qualification of the way in which Ra...

SAIIA International Affairs Bulletin, vol. 1, no. 1, 1977

This International Affairs Bulletin contains five articles: James Mayall’s article deals with Soviet and Chinese policies in Africa. It concentrates on Southern Africa, but Soviet and Chinese policies in the sub-continent should be related to the...

Containing conflict in the Congo

The current conflict in the Democratic Republic of the Congo is a political labyrinth, obstructive and chaotic. The update addresses the conflict in 1960 as well as the 1999 conflict with the Congolese government claiming that external invasions ...

Sierra Leone burns while the UN fiddles

The Revolutionary United Front in Sierra Leone shows signs of breaking into smaller factions however the possibility of long term peace remains elusive. Although the RUF leader remains in prison this is not deterring the RUF from initiating seve...

What Does the Future Hold for SACU? From Own Goal to Laduma! Scenarios for the Future of the Southern African Customs Union

"A group of Southern African Customs Union (SACU) experts and interested parties recently participated in a scenario-planning exercise on the future of SACU. This paper gives an account of the scenarios developed, which range from SACU collapsing ...

Somalia - the dark side of humanity

This brief report describes the conflict in Somalia, which originates in the fact that General Mohammed Farah Aidid do not recognise Ali Mahdi as the interim president, leading to armed conflict. During the Cold War, the US and the USSR viewed Som...

Zimbabwe before and after the elections: A concerned assessment

An economic turnaround in Zimbabwe hinges on the re-establishment of the rule of law and, more immediately the staging of free and fair presidential elections by March 2002. The opportunity to facilitate this, and the role of the SADC and SA is ke...

West Africa: The silent revolution

This brief report deals with West Africa, which has been plagued by political instability and economic mismanagement. Recent events indicate that the region is undergoing a profound transition, but the process has not been uniform. This report ...

Damned to Desperation: The Gendered Nature of Disruptive Politics among South African Youth

South Africa’s youth are often portrayed in the media as being at the forefront of xenophobic attacks, looting foreign-owned stores and participating in social movements and disruptive protests. Young men are identified as more likely than young ...

Salvaging South Sudan’s Fragile Peace Deal

This report reconstructs the background to the new peace deal, identifies the biggest immediate dangers to the agreement and suggests some ways of heading off those perils before they risk becoming mortal. It is based on two years of fieldwork con...

La Violence Politique a Encore le Vent en Poupe en Guinée / Political Violence Still on the Rise in Guinea

Violence is the use of physical or psychological force to coerce, dominate, cause harm or death. It can be caused by misunderstanding, drunkenness or drugs, home or street aggression, political or religious extremism - the circumstances and patter...

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