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Madagascar: Stumbling at the First Hurdle?

"Events in Madagascar after the disputed first round of the presidential election held on 16 December 2001 have taken many by surprise. This paper gives a detailed account of the order of events and explains their significance. The role played by th…

Mozambique: A lasting peace?

"Mozambique is perhaps the most successful state in the region in terms of its recent economic progress.Yet as one makes one's way from the airport to downtown Maputo, one is immediately struck by the image of two opposed worlds collapsed into one.…

Congo Brazzaville The Deep End of the Pool

"A rebel takeover of Kinshasa or the withdrawal of Angolan soldiers from the country are merely two instances of circumstances that would have a direct influence on the situation in the Congo. A third possibility, of course, would be a negotiated se…

Troubling Times ahead: Election Scenarios for the DRC

Many observers have welcomed the August announcement that President Joseph Kabila will not be contesting the national elections scheduled for December in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). By stepping aside Kabila has averted a constitutional c…

Sudan's Transition: What are the Chances of Success?

Peaceful mass protests led to the military ouster of Omar al-Bashir, ending his 30-year rule in 2019. A power-sharing agreement between the military and civilians has given much to hope for in ending Sudan’s civil wars and ushering in democratic gov…

Toward a Viable Future for South Sudan

South Sudan – the world’s newest country – needs a reset, if not a redo. Its 2013 descent into civil war starkly illustrated its fragility. There is little consensus on how to move the country forward amid ethnic animosity, economic collapse and ins…

Eight Priorities for the African Union in 2022

In the first week of February, the African Union (AU) will hold its annual heads of state summit ahead of its twenty-year anniversary in July. The meeting offers an opportunity for AU member states to assess the organisation’s achievements to date a…

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