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The Genesis of Insurgency in Northern Mozambique

Insurgents have attacked towns and villages in Cabo Delgado, the poorest province in Mozambique. The government has responded by sending in the military to stamp out the assailants, using ‘whatever it takes’, amid suspicions that foreign fighters fr…

Mozambique's Cabo Delgado Province: Commonalities and Discrepancies with Other African Lands of "Self-proclaimed Jihad"

This paper sets out to explore the specifics of Northern Mozambique, where a self-proclaimed Islamist movement has been active over the past three years. The movement's activity brought the roll-out of one of Africa's premier projects in recent econ…

Cabo Delgado: ‘Al Shabaab/ISIS’ and the Crisis in Southern Africa

This paper argues that the crisis in Cabo Delgado, while cast in terms of the incendiary rhetoric of armed religious extremism, in actual fact has its origins in systemic neglect and regional inequalities that plague this ‘forgotten’ northern portio…

Cabo Delgado: « Al Shabab/État Islamique » et la Crise en Afrique Austral / Cabo Delgado: ‘Al Shabaab/ISIS’ and the Crisis in Southern Africa

This paper argues that the crisis in Cabo Delgado, while cast in terms of the incendiary rhetoric of armed religious extremism, in actual fact has its origins in systemic neglect and regional inequalities that plague this ‘forgotten’ northern portio…

Paying the Price: Financing the Mozambican Insurgency

In northern Mozambique, a group known as Ahlu-Sunna Wa-Jama’a (ASWJ) has spearheaded a debilitating insurgency that has caused mass displacement and loss of life. As the group consolidates its position in Cabo Delgado, questions arise about its posi…

National and Regional Responses to the Cabo Delgado Crisis: Failures and Opportunities for Change

Northern Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province has been the site of an escalating insurgency since 2017. As the severity of the insurgency has grown, so too has the potential for the conflict to negatively impact upon the wider region. SADC’s response …

Exploring Resource and Climate Drivers of Conflict in Northern Mozambique

The rise of a violent extremist group in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province has posed a threat to the security of local communities since its emergence in 2017. The Islamist militants have halted foreign-owned liquefied natural gas projects that hav…

Building Youth Resilience to Extremism in Mozambique: Perspectives from Cabo Delgado

Mozambique’s ongoing conflict, waged by the Islamist group Ahlu-Sunna Wa-Jama’a (ASWJ), is expected to continue for at least three more years, according to newly appointed Mozambican defence minister Cristóvão Chume. This is optimistic, as the ongoi…

Conflict Trends, Issue 3, 2021

The article titled “The July 2021 protests and socio-political unrest in South Africa: reflecting on the causes, consequences and future lessons” deepens the analysis into the causes and consequences of the Free Zuma socio-political unrest while ref…

Humanizing Security in Cabo Delgado: A CSO Report on the Drivers of Conflict and its Impact on Civilians

The war in Cabo Delgado is now in its fourth year. The human suffering has been incalculable, with currently over 750 000 persons displaced, and many thousands killed. The international community has repeatedly been shocked by reports of extreme bru…

Stemming the Insurrection in Mozambique's Cabo Delgado

Militant attacks and security force operations in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province have claimed nearly 3,000 lives, while displacing hundreds of thousands of people. Insecurity has prompted the suspension of a massive gas project. The Islamic Stat…

Conter a Insurreição em Cabo Delgado, Moçambique / Stemming the Insurrection in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado

Militant attacks and security force operations in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province have claimed nearly 3,000 lives, while displacing hundreds of thousands of people. Insecurity has prompted the suspension of a massive gas project. The Islamic Stat…

Winning Peace in Mozambique's Embattled North

Since July 2021, Rwandan and southern African troops have deployed to Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province, diminishing a nearly five-year-old Islamist insurgency. Insurgents continue to destabilise pockets of territory, however, and have spread into …

Terrorist Insurgency in Northern Mozambique: Context, Analysis, and Spillover Effects on Tanzania

Tanzania has been closely following the evolution of the security situation in the region of Cabo Delgado in Mozambique. Worsening living conditions and safety in this bordering region suggest the eruption of a multifaceted security and human threat…

Entering Into the Fray? The Extremist Threat in Cabo Delgado: Strategic Policy Choices for South Africa and SADC

The extremist threat in Cabo Delgado province in northern Mozambique has been on the rise since October 2017, with recent reports pointing to a 300% escalation between 2019 and 2020 in violent events that have so far claimed over 1495 lives and resu…

Coordination: Key to the Success of African Solutions for Mozambique

The Cabo Delgado crisis is testing the African Union (AU) peace and security architecture. Troop deployments from the Southern African Development Community and Rwanda show that Africa can deal with security challenges in various ways. So far, howev…

Amid Insurgency, Mozambicans Express Fear, Growing Disapproval of Government Response

In Mozambique’s northern province of Cabo Delgado, the insurgent group Ahlu-Sunnah Wa-Jama’a (ASWJ) has spearheaded debilitating attacks on the state and local populations. Since 2017, the group – known locally as al-Shabaab – has consolidated its p…

L’insurrection de Cabo Delgado au Mozambique: Un Conflit Interne à Dimension Transfrontalière / The Cabo Delgado Insurgency in Mozambique: An Internal Conflict with a Cross-border Dimension

The north-eastern region of Mozambique, Cabo Delgado, has been the scene of a deadly insurgency since 2017, led by a group known as Ahlu Sunna Wal Jamaa, which the local population calls "Al Shabab". Considered the poorest region in the country, the…

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