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Ghana's Offshore Oil: Resource Curse or Blessing?

"This backgrounder explores the contentious debate surrounding Ghana’s oil discovery. It considers the ways in which Ghana’s oil could be either a ‘curse’ or a ‘blessing’ for the country. It briefly considers challenges surrounding resource extracti…

Crafting an Oil Revenue Sharing Mechanism for Uganda: A Comparative Analysis

"Governance principles that apply to oil-production are very important in oil-rich developing countries. Sharing oil revenue may be a source of conflict and bad governance if it is mishandled. Ensuring that oil and gas production revenues provide ec…

Risks to Global Trade and Implications for South Africa’s Economy and Policy

"The past two decades have witnessed an unprecedented globalisation of trade in goods and services. This process has been driven, inter alia, by technology, ideology and the availability of relatively cheap energy. By extrapolating this trend, one…

Coal Exports and the Diversification of Botswana's Economy

"The paper considers the opportunities and risks associated with the development of Botswana’s steam coal export sector. Given the very high coal prices on world markets achieved over the last decade together with the growing demand in India and Chi…

Energy Modelling for Liquid Fuels and Gas Supply A Summary of the SATIM Methodology

"Energy economy environment models such as TIMES are often used to look at opportunities and costs of reducing greenhouse gases (GHGs). The South African TIMES model (SATIM) has been developed for this purpose and its methodology is documented onlin…

Uganda: No Resolution to Growing Tensions

"This background report provides the context for growing tensions and analyses the unresolved issues of national integration that plagued Ugandan governments long before independence. It examines the effect of the decision to reestablish the traditi…

Black Gold in the Congo : Threat to Stability or Development Opportunity

"Although it should provide development opportunities,renewed oil interest in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) represents a real threat to stability in a still vulnerable post-conflict country. Exploration has begun, but oil prospecting is…

The Dark Side of Solar: How the Rising Solar Industry Empowers Political Interests that could Impede a Clean Energy Transition

Fossil fuels still supply most of the world’s energy needs. Today, solar power provides just 2 percent of the world’s electricity, and the generation of electricity, in turn, accounts for just a quarter of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions. To a…

“Blanket” Fuel and Electricity Subsidies Did Not Offer Much Benefit to Zambia’s Poor

This paper offers an alternative perspective to the motion on anti-abolition of subsidies. We argue that during their existence, the fuel and electricity subsidies had benefitted the poor far less than they had done any other social groups in Zamb…

Angola, the Reluctant SADC Trader

"The Southern African Development Community (SADC) Protocol on Trade (PoT) was signed in 1996 with the aim of increasing trade between member states through the elimination of tariffs and harmonisation of customs procedures. Regional tariff phase-…

Still Waiting for the Bonanza: The Oil Business in South Sudan after 2005

"The paper examines the oil sector in South Sudan since 2005, when the historic Comprehensive Peace Agreement was reached between the Government of the former Sudan and the then rebel Sudan People’s Liberation Movement/Army. It argues that, as in …

Accelerating Growth and Maintaining Intergenerational Equity Using Oil Resources in Uganda

"This paper seeks to interrogate three major aspects of oil extraction and revenue management that relate to issues around intergenerational equity in the Ugandan context. The first aspect concerns the management of the process of extracting the oil…

Future Oil Revenues and Political Dynamics in West and East Africa: A Slippery Slope

The paper begins with an overview of the economic geography of projected oil dependence in Africa, concentrated in the Gulf of Guinea and the Rift Valley respectively. Secondly, it briefly reviews the literature that attempts to understand why oil…

Hydrocarbon Resources in Tanzania: Achieving Benefits with Robust Protection

Like many other natural endowments, natural gas is a finite resource. Its consumption today is a subtraction from, and detrimental to, the resources of future generations. Therefore, the extraction of finite resources must be based on, and guided by…

Confronting the 'Oil Curse': State-Civil Society Roles in Managing Ghana's Oil Find

"Ghana discovered large oil deposits at Cape Three Points, on its western coast, in 2007. With the discovery of additional oil it is anticipated that the oil sector will significantly boost the economy, which in turn will have a positive development…

A Stitch in Time: Preventive Diplomacy and the Lake Malawi Dispute

"A low-intensity dispute between Malawi and Tanzania threatens regional peace as the two countries contest the demarcation of their national boundaries at Lake Malawi. This long-standing dispute became more urgent when in 2011 the Malawian governm…

Oil and Fisheries in Ghana: Prospects for a Socio-ecological Compact

"Fisheries play a crucial role in supporting livelihoods and food security in Ghana. While there is a sizable industrial fishing fleet, more than two-thirds of Ghana’s total marine fish catch is accounted for by artisanal fishers. These fishers no…

Horn of Africa Bulletin Vol 28 No. 4 July-August 2016

The extractive sector, mainly consisting of oil, gas and minerals, has great potential to contribute to economic growth. Extractives could be an asset but are also associated with a host of problems, including environmental degradation, conflicts, …

Horn of Africa Bulletin January-February 2015

The first article by Najum Mushtaq focuses on the "cease-and-desist" policy in the US towards Somali people working in the US, and how this influences the Somalians economy and society. The second article by Hawa Noor M reflects on the regulations t…

Prepare to Appropriate "Associated Gas": Lessons from Ecuador to Uganda

This Policy Brief underlines the problem of gas flaring in the petroleum sector, and draws important lessons from Ecuador for Uganda in the conversion of waste to wealth. The oil industry is associated with greenhouse gas emissions through AG fla…

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