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BIDPA Briefing 1st Quarter 2005

"This issue of the BIDPA Briefing discusses the sectoral performance of the economy during the decade to 2003/04. Mining and Government sectors posted strong growth rates. They accounted for 38 percent and 18 percent, respectively, of the total i...

BIDPA Briefing 1st Quarter 2004

"This BIDPA Briefing issue looks at the annual performance of the economy over the period from 1992/93 to the first half of 2003/04. Over the period, there has been a gradual transformation in structure of the economy. There is also evidence of th...

BIDPA Briefing 3rd Quarter 1998

"The global economic turmoil of recent months has so far not had a major effect on the Botswana economy. Despite tumbling stock markets all over the world, and the fear of global economic recession, the Botswana economy is performing well, particu...

Botswana’s Debt Sustainability : Tracking the Path

"The study focused on various GDP growth scenarios; second, different sources (publications)report various figures in relation to the used basic national data such as debt to GDP ratio, government deficits, monetary base, for instance. No attempt ...

A Modelling of Ghana's Inflation Experience: 1960–2003

"The study sought to ascertain the key determinants of inflation in Ghana for the past 40 years. Stylized facts about Ghana’s inflation experience indicate that since the country’s exit from the West African Currency Board soon after independence,...

A Review of Recent Developments in the Second Economy in Tanzania

"This paper examines the nature and estimates the magnitude of the second economy in Tanzania to establish the extent to which official national accounts misstate actual or real production of goods and services. Section II sets up the conceptual f...

Africa and the Global Economic Crises : Impacts, Policy Responses and Political Economy

"African countries have already undertaken a number of effective measures to minimize the impacts of the crisis. Taking a longer-term perspective, African countries could turn the crisis into an opportunity to restore their economic potentials an...

An Econometric Analysis of Capital Flight from Nigeria: A Portfolio Approach

"This study provides measures of real capital flight from Nigeria based on the residual method adjusted for exchange rate fluctuations and trade misinvoicing. The portfolio choice approach is explored, in which the flow of capital is accumulated i...

Analysis of Factors Affecting the Development of an Emerging Capital Market: The Case of the Ghana Stock Market

"The study looks at the institutional factors affecting the development of the Ghana stock market. Additionally, the study analyses the impact of the listing of Ashanti Goldfields corporation on the development of the Ghana stock market. The study...

Capital Flight and External Debt in Nigeria

"This study concentrates on capital flight and external debt in Nigeria. The study will focus on the definition, magnitude, determinants, mechanisms and consequences of capital flight. The analysis will also explore the possible measureable asse...

Consequences and Limitations of Recent Fiscal Policy in Cote d'Ivoire

"Our concern in this research is precisely to discuss the effectiveness of the measures adopted for fiscal adjustment in Côte d'Ivoire regarding its fiscal profile over the past two decades and the determinants of its fiscal deficit. We intend to...

Constraints to the Development and Diversification of Non Traditional Exports in Uganda, 1981-90

"The foreign exchange cash-flow of Uganda has reached a crisis. Expenditure requiring foreign exchange is on the increase as the economy grows, while foreign exchange receipts have dwindled over the past four years from about US$400 million to a c...

Determinants of Imports in Nigeria: A Dynamic Specification

"This study examines the determinants of aggregate imports and its components in Nigeria between 1953 and 1989. The estimated equations rest on the stock adjustment import exchange model that has its roots in the balance of payments theory and in...

Costs and Benefits of Special and Differential treatment for developing countries in GATT/WTO: An African perspective

"It is not necessarily self-evident that income transfers should be made through S&D treatment; other mechanisms that may be more efficient could be available. Second, it is worth examining whether S&D treatment provides appropriate incentives f...

Dynamic Inter-Links Among the Exchange Rate, Price Level and Terms of Trade in a Managed Floating Exchange Rate System: The Case of Ghana

"This study examined the dynamic inter-relationships among domestic price level, nominal exchange rate, terms of trade of cocoa, bank rate, domestic credit and foreign exchange reserves using the cointegration, vector error correction (VEC) and ve...

Effect of Import Liberalization on Tariff Revenue in Ghana

"In contributing to the ongoing debate on the impact of trade liberalization, this paper investigates the quantitative effect of import liberalization on tariff revenue in Ghana. A decomposition analysis was conducted to determine the relative eff...

Effects of Budget Deficits on the Current Account Balance in Nigeria: A Simulation Exercise

"This paper examines the effect of budget deficit on the current account balance in Nigeria, covering the period from 1973 to 1993. This is motivated by the fact that the magnitude of government has increased with amazing rapidity since the early ...

Effects of Inflation on Ivorian Fiscal Variables: An Econometric Investigation

"The purpose of this paper has been to develop, estimate and simulate a macro-econometric model for Cote d'Ivoire. The parameter estimates have been used to analyse the effects of alternative GDP policy measures on the country's economy.The key po...

Empirical Studies of Nigeria's Foreign Exchange Parallel Market II: Speculative Efficiency and Noisy Trading

"The paper is organized as follows: Section II reviews the development of the parallel forex market in Nigeria and Section III looks at the risk/return characteristics implicit in this simplest trading strategy of "buy and hold" an optimal portfo...

European Economic Integration and the Franc Zone : the Future of the CFA Franc after 1996: Part I : Historical Background and a New Evaluation of Monetary Co-operation in the CFA Countries

"The general objective of this study is to assess the impact of a unified monetary authority in Europe on the FZ and also to assess the possible options in relation to the current CFA monetary arrangements. The specific goal of this part is to giv...

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