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The Absence of Prime Minister Meles Zenawi And its Implications: What Makes the Party, the Government and the State to Continue in the Absence of the Premier?

"The aim of this brief piece is not to add on the speculations in the public. Rather, the intention is to explain what I think is novel in the political history of Ethiopia. For many people the Prime Minister was the only person who guarantees the p…

Assessing Long-Term State Fragility in Africa: Prospects for 26 ‘more fragile’ Countries

"This monograph has presented a model of fragility drawn from the contemporary scholarly and practice-oriented literature, provided a long-term, ‘structural’ forecast on the future of Africa’s more fragile countries, and developed various alterna…

Survey on Women and Livelihoods in the Niger Delta: An Overview of Women's Economic Activities in Oil Producing Communities in Akwa Bom, Bayelsa and Riverstates

The economic crisis in the Niger Delta has been accentuated by increased exploitation of oil and gas resources occasioned by the search of the Nigerian state for greater revenues and the multinational oil companies‟ quest for higher profits. The con…

Generating Sustainable Livelihoods and Leadership for Peace in South Sudan: Lessons from the Ground

Following two long civil wars between 1956 and 2005, South Sudan, with a population of about 13 million, became an independent state on 9 July 2011. After independence, the country’s socio-economic challenges were enormous, and unresolved political …

Central African Republic (CAR) Conflict Insight

The purpose of this report is to provide analysis and recommendations to assist the African Union (AU), Regional Economic Communities (RECs), Member States and Development Partners in decision-making and in the implementation of peace and security r…

Should the Police be assessed using Crime Statistics?

Using crime statistics as an indicator of police performance is problematic. Many variables influence increases and decreases in crime rates that cannot necessarily be attributed to police performance. This policy brief argues that crime statistics…

Arresting Corruption in Africa: Role of the Youth

Young people are most exposed to and hardest hit by corruption in Africa. Corruption remains a major obstacle to the continent’s social, political and economic transformation, and the causal relationship between corruption and instability is particu…

The Art of creating Money: An Appraisal of Zimbabwe’s Economy

Zimbabwe’s economy continues to struggle. The much-anticipated economic growth and stability in the ‘new dispensation’ remain elusive and ordinary citizens continue to bear the brunt of the economic plunge. This report analyses key economic challen…

Fixing Fragility: The Role of the Private Sector and Local Institutions

The report argues that fragility is a syndrome of characteristics: fractured identities, a lack of state legitimacy and capacity, insecurity, a dearth of formal enterprises, and proneness to shocks. These reinforce each other, creating a trap. That…

Revolt and Repression in Zimbabwe

On 12 January, in response to persistent fuel shortages compounded by manipulation and mismanagement of a currency crisis, President Emmerson Mnangagwa announced a fuel price hike of over 200 per cent to $3.31 per litre – making the country’s petrol…

Towards a New Leadership for a Broken Nation: The Imperative of Restructuring

Nigeria is generally seen as a country that is permanently on a reverse gear due mainly to the failure of its leadership. The country's backwardness is most evident when compared with her contemporaries such as Malaysia, Indonesia, India, Brazil, T…

Managing Ethiopia’s Unsettled Transition

Nine months after Ethiopia’s new prime minister, Abiy Ahmed, assumed power, the country remains in flux and the trajectory of its transition uncertain. Long-simmering ethnic grievances have been compounded by elite disagreements about a range of iss…

Africa and the New Rentier Effect: Oil, Aid, Regime-Type

Rentier state theory grew out of an attempt to understand political development in the oil-rich states of the Middle East. The framework has since been applied to understand the politics of resource-rich countries in Latin America, Asia and Africa,…

Effets des Depenses Publiques sur la Croissance Economique dans la Sous-Region Cemac: une Analyse Comparative entre les Etats Fragiles et non Fragiles /Effects of Public Expenditure on Economic Growth in the CEMAC Sub-Region: A Comparative Analysis

English title translate as follows: Effects of Public Expenditure on Economic Growth in the Cemac Sub-Region: A Comparative Analysis between Fragile and Non-Fragile States. The CEMAC countries face enormous challenges in terms of economic growth. P…

Kingdom of Lesotho: Conflict Insight

The Kingdom of Lesotho is a landlocked country surrounded entirely by South Africa. It has a population of about 2.2 million and a total land area of 30.4 square kilometers. Since gaining independence from British rule in 1966, Lesotho has faced var…

Sierra Leone Conflict Insight

In March 2018, Sierra Leone held a general election to elect a new president, members of parliament, and local councils. It was the fourth cycle of elections since the end of the decade-long civil war (1992-2002) when 70,000 people were killed and 2…

Guinea Bissau Conflict Insight

Guinea Bissau is a country located on the coast of West Africa along the Atlantic Ocean. It consists of a mainland on the continent - where the majority of the population lives - and close to 80 archipelagos on the ocean, of which only 20 are habite…

Cameroon’s Anglophone Crisis at the Crossroads

Since October 2016, protests around sectoral demands have degenerated into a political crisis in Cameroon’s Anglophone regions. This crisis has led to the reemergence of the Anglophone question and highlighted the limits of the Cameroonian govern…

A New Chapter Beckons: South Africa at the Crossroads

This paper analyzed the recent developments on the South African political landscape, which marked a rupture from one chapter within an epoch to a new one. To be more explicit, the recent manoeuvres by President Jacob Zuma facilitated the conclusion…

Standoff in Zimbabwe as Struggle to Succeed Mugabe Deepens

President Robert Mugabe plunged Zimbabwe into political crisis by firing his long-time ally and enforcer Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa on 6 November 2017. In this Q&A prior to an apparent army coup in Mnangagwa’s favour on 14-15 November, Crisis…

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