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Financing the Economic Stabilization and Growth Programme (Zambia Plus) in the Shadow of the IMF

This policy paper was prompted by a protracted deliberation between the Zambian Government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) regarding a Fund-supported economic programme. The Zambian authorities began contemplating an IMF “bailout package…

Economic Distress and the Inevitability of an Economic Recovery Programme

This policy insights paper explains why the economic recovery programme dubbed Zambia Plus will be absolutely essential for Zambia from 2017 onward. The paper highlights the scale of the challenge of Zambia’s 2015/2016 economic downturn, which neces…

Are Interest Payments on Debt Derailing Fiscal Consolidation?

This policy brief provides a review of the performance of the first quarter of the 2018 National Budget. The paper provides context by looking at both the revenue and expenditure trends during the last three years when Government instituted some fis…

Analytical Brief of the 2019 Social Sector Budget: 'A Call for Fairness and Elimination of Wastage'

The 2019 National Budget comes at a time when the Government is facing fiscal constraints. Nevertheless, the Government will still have to deliver essential social services to its population to build on progress made in the past in order to safeguar…

Taking the Road less Travelled: In Pursuit of Fiscal Consolidation- “Delivering Fiscal Consolidation for Sustainable and Inclusive Growth”

For the fourth year in a row, Zambia’s Budget in 2019 will focus on fiscal consolidation. Clearly, the country’s approaches to fiscal management over the past few years did not deliver the desired fiscal outcomes. Most likely, this is because some w…

Debt Servicing and the Delivery of Social Services: Mid-Year Review of the 2018 Budget

This policy brief reviews the performance of the first half (January to June) of the 2018 National Budget, drawing on data from fiscal tables produced by the Ministry of Finance. A descriptive approach is employed in order to analyse the data and i…

Resource Allocation Model for the Constituency Development Fund

"The research reported on in this paper has calculated a composite index of deprivation using 2010 Census data, drawing on the experience of similar initiatives in other countries and using internationally accepted statistical techniques. This index…

Bridging the PAYE Tax Revenue Gap

"Based on the Report “Uncovering the Unknown: An analysis of Tax Evasion in Zambia,” Zambia is currently grappling with issues of reducing high budget deficits. Zambia’s tax revenue-to-GDP ratio dropped to a record low of 13% in the early 1990s from…

Analytical Brief of the Social Sector Budget 2017 - “Leaving no one Behind "

With Zambia setting the stage for economic recovery, the National Budget of 2017 is certainly not short on measures to protect the vulnerable from the adverse effects of possible austerity under the Zambia Plus Economic Recovery Programme. With real…

Staying the Course of Fiscal Fitness: Analysis of the 2018 National Budget

The 2018 National Budget was delivered to the National Assembly and read on 29th September 2017, with the theme: “accelerating fiscal fitness for sustained inclusive growth, without leaving anyone behind”. In part, this essentially signals that the …

Analytical Brief on Social Sector Budget 2018: ‘A Mirage in the Social Sector budget’

As Zambia continues on its recovery path, Social Sectors spending remain cardinal to providing both increased and good quality services to its increasing population. The level of resources allocated to these sectors through the National Budget is th…

Toward Stability and Growth: A Review of Pillar I & II of Zambia’s Economic Stabilisation and Growth Programme 2017-2019

The aim of this paper is to review the ESGP, particularly, its performance in 2018. The paper sets out to understand how well Zambia faired in implementing the ESGP as well as to highlight the broader fiscal trends recently. It ultimately seeks to m…

Nurturing the Seeds of Growth: Analysis of the 2020 National Budget

The 2020 Budget seeks to position Zambia for growth through stimulation of the domestic economy. It articulates a range of macroeconomic, fiscal and debt management, sectoral growth, climate change and social sector policies, strategies and interven…

Transformation through Inclusive Growth: Achieving a Balanced Recovery

The Zambian National Budget for the year 2022 was announced by the Minister of Finance on 29th October 2021. This marked the first Budget of the newly elected United Party for National Development Government following the August 12, 2021 national el…

An Analytical Brief on the Social Sector Budget 2022: Increasing Social Sector Spending for Sustained Inclusive Development

The 2022 budget reflects an increased commitment to the social sectors, with significant nominal increases to education, health, social protection, WASH and nutrition sectors. These increased allocations have far-reaching benefits, particularly for …

The ZIPAR Quarterly: Issue 10

This Issue covers articles based on our Analysis of the 2020 National Budget Speech and other research outputs published and disseminated recently. It also brings to you some news on other happenings in the organization in the last few months. Our c…

Increasing Social Sector Spending for Sustained Inclusive Development

This Social Sector Budget Brief explores the extent to which the Government of the Republic of Zambia (GRZ) will support social sector needs in the country in 2022. The brief analyses the size and composition of planned budget allocations to the soc…

Quest for Growth and Resilience in the Face of Mounting Economic Headwinds: Analysis

The Minister of Finance unveiled a K119.6 billion 2021 Budget on Friday, 25th September, 2020. The Budget was themed; “Stimulate Economic Recovery and Build Resilience to Safeguard Livelihoods and Protect the Vulnerable.” It is worth noting that the…

Coping with the Dual Effects of a Recession and a Pandemic: Safeguarding Lives and Livelihoods

This Social Sector budget brief explores the extent to which the Government of the Republic of Zambia (GRZ) will support Social Sector needs in the country in 2021. The brief analyses the size and composition of budget allocations to the social sect…

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