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Walking a Tight Rope to Economic Recovery “Restoring Fiscal Fitness for Sustained Inclusive Growth and Development”

A clear link was established between the 2017 National Budget speech and the medium-term Economic Recovery Programme dubbed “Zambia Plus”. The budget, in this regard, will be as a key instrument for establishing a foundation for economic recover...

Implications of the Global Commodity Price Slump for Zambia’s Agriculture Commentary

This Regional Economic Outlook report focuses broadly on two aspects, namely the commodity price slump as well as sustainable growth and financial development. Many key insights are offered as well as broad policy recommendations. The report makes...

Analytical Brief of the Social Sector Budget 2017 - “Leaving no one Behind "

With Zambia setting the stage for economic recovery, the National Budget of 2017 is certainly not short on measures to protect the vulnerable from the adverse effects of possible austerity under the Zambia Plus Economic Recovery Programme. With re...

Recounting the Miseries of the Poor - A Multidimensional Measurement of Poverty in Zambia

The approach of this report is multi dimensional in nature, which means it considers additional poverty indicators alongside the traditional income approach. Therefore the report highlights some of the important aspects of human needs and the ext...

High Poverty Levels in the Face of Sustainable Economic Growth in Zambia

The highlights of this report are mainly as follows: Unprecedented growth was recorded in Zambia for more than a decade after recording an average growth rate of 7.2 % per annum. Growth over this period was achieved by a combination of factors whi...

Casualisation Opinion Poll Report

The purpose of the opinion poll was to inform the Government, other key stakeholders and the general public about the opinions of various Show goers regarding various issues on Casualisation. Decidedly, while the opinion poll is not representativ...

Towards An Inflation Targeting Regime in Zambia

In this paper, the author seeks to discuss the conduct of monetary policy in an inflation targeting framework. The objective is to understand structural and institutional nuances in settings where this framework is successful in controlling inflat...

A Tightening Balancing Act: Economic Implications of Zambia's Balance of Payments Performance

International trade, development and investment are primary drivers of globalization. In 2014, Zambia’s trade openness – in terms of total monetary flows on all export and import transactions combined – was estimated at 79.6% of GDP while the tota...

Calming the Copperbelt Economic Storm

During the last five years, the Zambian economy has been slapped by a series of turbulent macroeconomic challenges. The most notable shocks were the steep drop in the global price of copper, Zambia’s main foreign exchange earner, severe electricit...

Labour Market Regulations and Labour Market Outcomes in Zambia: A Firms’ Perspective

This report has provided a comprehensive review of key labour laws and regulations in Zambia drawing from various pieces of legislation. The report has also revealed the perception of firms on current labour laws and regulations and how these la...

China-Africa Trade Developments and Impacts: Case of China-Zambia Relations

This study sought to undertake a critical comparative assessment of the trade (and other underpinning socioeconomic) developments in China, Africa and Zambia, with a view to understanding their impetus as well as their consequences, both positive ...

Staying the Course of Fiscal Fitness: Analysis of the 2018 National Budget

The 2018 National Budget was delivered to the National Assembly and read on 29th September 2017, with the theme: “accelerating fiscal fitness for sustained inclusive growth, without leaving anyone behind”. In part, this essentially signals that th...

Analytical Brief on Social Sector Budget 2018: ‘A Mirage in the Social Sector budget’

As Zambia continues on its recovery path, Social Sectors spending remain cardinal to providing both increased and good quality services to its increasing population. The level of resources allocated to these sectors through the National Budget is ...

The ZIPAR Quarterly Issue 1

"This quarterly newsletter takes a look at tax evasion still being a challenge in Zambia, enhancing export performance in Zambia and innovative ways of bridging the financial gap for the poor. The cover story "Lusaka needs Public Transport Reform...

Comparison of Welfare Status of Districts in Zambia

"In this paper we make welfare comparisons among districts of Zambia using multidimensional wellbeing indicators observed at the household level. The comparisons are conducted using a first order dominance approach developed by Arndt et al. It is ...

The Birth, Death and Survival of Exports in Zambia 1999 - 2011

"This paper deals with the dynamics of Zambia’s export performance, analyzing the birth, death and persistence of exporting in various products and destinations. We use a framework that has recently proliferated in international trade to decompose...

Resource Allocation Model for the Constituency Development Fund

"The research reported on in this paper has calculated a composite index of deprivation using 2010 Census data, drawing on the experience of similar initiatives in other countries and using internationally accepted statistical techniques. This ind...

The Distribution of Household Income and the Middle Class in Zambia

"The middle class is increasingly becoming a topical issue in Zambia. However, the lack of a definitive measure of the middle class in the country makes it difficult to have targeted policies on this group of people, perceived worldwide to be the ...

Constraints on the Demand for Youth Labour in Zambia

"Zambia is one of many developing countries struggling to create adequate employment opportunities for its people, especially in the formal economy. Unemployment is highest among youths (15–24 years old) and particularly affects those without s...

Creating and Wasting Fiscal Space: Zambian Fiscal Performance 2002–2011

"Following three decades of economic mismanagement and decline, Zambia has experienced sustained economic growth since the turn of the century. The combination of rapid growth, reduced public expenditure, increased mining taxation and debt relief ...

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