77

77

results

Filter your results

Apply filters

Assessing Long-Term State Fragility in Africa: Prospects for 26 ‘more fragile’ Countries

"This monograph has presented a model of fragility drawn from the contemporary scholarly and practice-oriented literature, provided a long-term, ‘structural’ forecast on the future of Africa’s more fragile countries, and developed various alter...

Renamo’s War Talk and Mozambique’s Peace Prospects

"Growing political tensions in Mozambique intensified in October 2013 when Mozambican government forces attacked the base of the Mozambican National Resistance Movement’s (Renamo) long-time leader Afonso Dhlakama. In reaction Renamo declared an e...

Forecasting South African Election Results

"This policy brief provides additional detail on the Bafana Bafana, Mandela Magic and Nation Divided scenarios first set out in the ‘South African futures 2030’ study released by the Institute for Security Studies in February 2014. The focus in t...

Zambia's Constitution Making Process Addressing the Impasse and Future Challenges

"The report is divided into five sections. The first provides a brief historical background to Zambia’s constitution making phases. The second is a discussion on the triggers of constitution-making in Zambia since independence in 1964. In the thi...

South Africa and Aid Effectiveness Lessons for SADPA as a Development Partner

"South Africa is an important actor in peacebuilding and post-conflict development and now wishes to deepen its engagement through the establishment of the South African Development Partnership Agency (SADPA). However South Africa needs to be awa...

Internal and External Dilemmas of Peacebuilding in Africa

"As peacebuilding has expanded through practice and a proliferation of research interests, there is a variety of lenses through which one can frame peacebuilding trends and challenges. The focus of this paper is on the relationship between peacebu...

Elections in Mozambique A Smooth Journey, or a Hurdle to Skip?

"Mozambique’s fifth democratic election is due to take place in October 2014. Until June 2014, it appeared as if Renamo would escalate its armed resistance against Frelimo, the ruling party, because of alleged unfulfilled terms of the 1992 peace a...

Radicalisation in Kenya Recruitment to al-Shabaab and the Mombasa Republican Council

"Despite a history of extremism and unconventional political developments in Kenya, relatively little empirical research has been done to determine why and how individuals join al-Shabaab and the Mombasa Republican Council (MRC). This paper is bas...

Between a Rock and a Hard Place The UN and the Protection of Civilians in South Sudan

The UN Security Council passed a resolution that substantially restructured the form and function of the UN mission in South Sudan (UNMISS), following the outbreak of civil war in South Sudan at the end of 2013. This signalled a departure from i...

SADC 2014 – 2015: Are South Africa and Zimbabwe Shaping the Organisation?

The chairing of the Southern African Development Community (SADC)is discussed in this paper as well as its key institutions by South Africa and Zimbabwe, for the duration of their tenure from 2014 to 2015. It highlights the constraints and opport...

Africa's Current and Future Stability

This paper first presented the current trends of violence and instability in Africa and then modelled alternative future trends – these are uncertain and do not purport to be accurate predictions. In this paper it is speculated that the levels of ...

Assessing Long Term State Fragility in Africa : Prospects for 26 ‘more fragile’ Countries

This monograph propose that ten presently fragile states (Comoros, the CAR, the DRC, Guinea-Bissau, Madagascar, the Republic of Congo, Somalia, Sudan, South Sudan and Togo) will continue to experience poor governance, chronic poverty, potentially ...

The 2013 General Elections in Kenya: The Integrity of the Electoral Process

The 2013 general elections in Kenya was followed by the comparative national elections project (CNEP) post election survey. One of the primary objectives was to generate data that could provide insights into the views and attitudes of Kenyan vote...

Voter Information in Kenya's 2013 Election News Media, Political Discussion and Party Campaigns

The primary objective of the Comparative National Election Project (CNEP) post election survey, held in Kenya – was to generate data that could provide insights into the views and attitudes of Kenyan voters about their political institutions and t...

Swaziland's Non-Party Political System and the 2013 Tinkhundla Elections Breaking the SADC impasse?

"The first section of the report provides an overview of the Swazi political landscape, while the second discusses the tinkhundla political model and reflects on the feasibility of the system and its institutions to become potential catalysts for ...

The Somali Diaspora Options for Post-Conflict Reconstruction

"The civil unrest in Somalia dispersed a large number of Somalis to different parts of the globe. Owing to the efforts of the international community in establishing a new government, there is a renewed sense of hope for Somalia’s reconstruction....

The Future of Intrastate Conflict in Africa More Violence or Greater Peace?

"This paper analyses future trends for intrastate conflict in Africa up to 2050 using the International Futures (IFs) model. After reviewing the main post-Cold War patterns of conflict and instability on the continent, the paper discusses seven k...

Towards Delivering Credible Polls in Zimbabwe

"The people of Zimbabwe are expected to cast their votes in general elections in 2013. Because of the likelihood of a troubled lead-up to these elections, Zimbabwe’s political parties, the Southern African Development Community (SADC) and the Unit...

Long Walk to Restoration : Lessons from Somalia's Transition Process

"Somalia’s troubled recent history began with the fall of the Siad Barre regime in 1991 and the subsequent outbreak of war among various clan-based actors in the different regions of the country. Since then, all efforts to restore peace, stability...

Balancing Competing Obligations The Rome Statute and AU Decisions

"This paper will not attempt to untangle the broader political standoff between the AU and the ICC. Rather it will interrogate the legal aspects thereof. First, the paper seeks to delineate the various obligations on African states in respect of B...

Showing page 1 of 4

Next page