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Forecasting South African Election Results

"This policy brief provides additional detail on the Bafana Bafana, Mandela Magic and Nation Divided scenarios first set out in the ‘South African futures 2030’ study released by the Institute for Security Studies in February 2014. The focus in t...

The 2013 General Elections in Kenya: The Integrity of the Electoral Process

The 2013 general elections in Kenya was followed by the comparative national elections project (CNEP) post election survey. One of the primary objectives was to generate data that could provide insights into the views and attitudes of Kenyan vote...

Leadership Required: Drug Trafficking and the Crisis of Statehood in West Africa

"Beginning in the middle of the last decade, the international community was alerted to the fact that drug trafficking in West Africa was in danger of spawning a series of near ‘narco-­‐states’: countries whose economies, politics and social str...

Angola's Second Post War Elections: The Alchemy of Change

"The second post-war elections in Angola, in August 2012, have become a lens through which to observe the political changes this emerging African powerhouse will face in the coming years. President Jose Eduardo dos Santos was elected for the firs...

The Proposed SADC Parliament Old Wine in New Bottles or an Ideal Whose Time has Come?

"This study explores whether in approving the establishment of the SADC PF as a consultative assembly, the Summit of SADC Heads of State and Government (Summit) consciously envisaged the establishment, in the long term, of a regional parliament ...

Protector or Predator? Tackling Police Corruption in South Africa

"This monograph reflects international and local research and findings about the causes of police corruption and applies them in explaining why police corruption is a persistent challenge in South Africa. This allows for an understanding of how an...

The 2011 Elections in Nigeria: a New Dawn?

"This situation report follows a three-week visit by the author to Nigeria – principally Abuja (the federal capital) and Lagos (the commercial capital) – in March 2011. 'The 2011 presidential, National Assembly, gubernatorial, and State Assembly e...

The State of the Region Security Sector Governance in Southern Africa

"The aim of this conference was to explore dynamics that influence the democratic governance of the security sector in Southern Africa. The 1990s was a period of democratic transition for many states in Southern Africa. These transitions often en...

A Critical Look at the 2011 North African Revolutions and their Implications

"The overarching objective of this conference was to assist a variety of African policy and decision makers and other stakeholders to formulate informed policies for an effective management of the crises in North Africa at these interesting but e...

Zimbabwe From a Global (dis)agreement to Free and Fair Elections? Considering Scenarios for Zimbabwe’s Future

"With the second anniversary of Zimbabwe’s Interim Government (IG)fast approaching, the protagonists in and observers of what has ironically become Zimbabwe’s global and persistent political disagreement are now beginning to focus their atten...

Failing to Prosecute? Assessing the State of the National Prosecuting Authority in South Africa

"The National Prosecuting Authority (NPA) is pivotal not only in the criminal justice system, but also in the proper functioning of South Africa’s democracy. This monograph focuses on the independence, accountability and performance of the NPA in ...

Two Decades of Conflict and Democracy in Sierra Leone A Personal Experience

"Poor governance, mismanagement, endemic corruption, exclusion and marginalisation, especially of the youth, were causal factors that led Foday Sankoh, an ex-corporal of the national army, to take up arms against the feeble government of Presiden...

Confronting Complex Political Crises in West Africa An Analysis of ECOWAS Responses to Niger and Cote D'Ivoire

"The question addressed in this paper is how the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) has attempted to address crises in Niger and Cote d'Ivoire. How has it sought to implement the norms, activate mechanisms and establish structures ...

Transformation of the Pan-African Parliament A path to a legislative body?

"The inauguration of the Pan-African Parliament reflects a commitment towards enhancing and deepening democratic values and principles on the continent. The PAP forms part of the ambitious process of deepening the institutional framework for achi...

Democracy, Elections & Political Parties A Conceptual Overview with Special Emphasis on Africa

"This paper develops,in a manageable manner, a conceptual framework in order to adequately define the essentially contested concepts of democracy, elections and political parties. There is much overlap in these concepts which are abundantly used i...

Guinea: The Main Challenges of the New President

"The aim of this policy brief is to draw attention to some of the main challenges that the newly elected president of Guinea will face, and to formulate policy recommendations in view of addressing these challenges. For the first time since it...

The State of the Region Security Sector Governance in Southern Africa

"The aim of this conference was to explore dynamics that influence the democratic governance of the security sector in Southern Africa. The 1990s was a period of democratic transition for many states in Southern Africa. These transitions often en...

To Spy or Not to Spy? Intelligence and Democracy in South Africa

"As the title of the series of papers suggests, there are two primary issues for discussion. On the one hand, the question 'To spy or not to spy?’ has been posed. This question asks us to consider the nature of the role and function of the South ...

Ghana’s 2008 Election: Towards a Consolidated Democracy?

"How has Ghana got it right? This paper argues that Ghana’s own political history and the electoral machinery continue to play a role in the steps taken towards effective political system based on democratic principles. Regarded by both local and...

The Power of Regional Economic Communities: Predicting Future Trends and Mitigating the Phenomenon of Unconstitutional Power Alteration in Africa

"Using secondary sources of information and participant observations, the paper presents a historical overview of unconstitutional power alternations in Africa, explores the provisions available to the RECs in addressing current trends and the cha...

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